Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 299.301127 338.992661 383.245131 436.471484 499.058098 570.684025 659.386957
2025-06-01 238.681060 289.988390 352.416020 434.878890 542.316324 679.478395 871.009454
2025-06-08 202.446639 257.119699 327.475525 426.336879 564.440814 754.831768 1045.034696
2025-06-15 180.212427 237.129850 313.759040 427.057663 594.899141 842.149489 1249.566037
2025-06-22 160.045273 216.600022 295.547179 417.214559 606.451929 901.338861 1421.348758
2025-06-29 146.194596 202.894112 284.666184 415.553631 628.553693 978.603301 1637.829365
2025-07-06 130.631918 184.896062 265.189085 397.646935 621.225837 1005.068770 1768.932808
2025-07-13 125.381596 181.543909 267.160916 413.506392 671.531012 1138.608229 2133.885410
2025-07-20 121.218655 179.313919 270.416724 431.537531 727.932554 1293.407129 2585.050331
2025-07-27 114.431054 172.255088 265.059854 433.897274 755.773032 1398.063269 2957.081845
2025-08-03 105.996052 161.798975 253.042292 422.883899 756.277099 1446.824362 3211.499942
2025-08-10 98.999448 153.138355 243.249099 414.723296 761.027864 1505.152409 3507.479162
2025-08-17 95.930660 150.938123 244.615405 428.059808 812.641062 1680.484999 4185.805813
2025-08-24 90.866277 144.949484 238.781382 426.895852 833.673182 1790.233080 4724.031618
2025-08-31 85.279765 137.619453 229.862433 418.522478 837.474578 1858.632897 5163.448169
2025-09-07 81.447885 133.092623 225.677696 419.228461 861.875785 1985.028623 5850.242787
2025-09-14 76.629765 126.459339 217.002018 409.605607 860.605022 2042.903220 6323.961185
2025-09-21 73.198618 122.114272 212.328646 407.981748 878.402668 2158.105206 7072.466138
2025-09-28 68.187470 114.550245 200.880511 390.472530 854.264604 2147.124934 7311.874803
2025-10-05 67.259367 114.524453 204.187747 405.980150 916.703174 2411.422211 8882.012686
2025-10-12 66.555845 114.861394 208.223652 423.607593 988.038180 2725.759984 10923.778422
2025-10-19 64.336339 112.136334 205.804008 425.914221 1018.039013 2912.937404 12476.206747
2025-10-26 61.024376 107.091717 198.227643 415.148187 1009.483937 2964.230535 13321.579644